2004 Presidential Election
Here's the last Des Moines Register Iowa poll before tomorrow's caucuses. It shows John Kerry at 26%, John Edwards 23%, Howard Dean 20%, and Dick Gephardt 18%. Margin of error is 4% and the poll was taken amongst 606 likely caucus attendees.
The Daily Kos offers up an opinion on the perils of narrow focus that has helped John Kerry and John Edwards in Iowa, hurt Howard Dean and Dick Gephardt, and the potential of the same effect next week in New Hampshire.
Ed Cone thinks that the Democrats' only chance to win the White House is to establish their candidate as the one of hope. He's echoing Juan Cole's sentiment that the war in Iraq will not be pivotal in November.
Here's Taegan Goddard's coverage the day before the Iowa Caucuses.
Diane Carman is in Iowa covering tomorrow's caucuses for the Denver Post [January 18, 2004, "Iowans take their chance to choose very seriously"].
Here's a story about the Iowa Caucuses from the Rocky Mountain News via AP [January 18, 2004, "Democrats Boost Rhetoric As Polls Tighten"]. From the article, "But the niceties ended there in a race so unpredictable that the last round of polls differed on which contender led, and found a narrow point spread among the four. Kerry, who has gained ground in recent polls, said Dean and Gephardt were trying to dampen his momentum in the agriculture-conscious state with a 'smear effort' that distorted his record on farm issues. On Friday, the two rival campaigns provided reporters with comments Kerry made five years ago, indicating he would scale back the Department of Agriculture and revamp farm subsidies. Kerry said during the day he would change the subsidy program, not end it. But Erik Smith, a spokesman for Gephardt dismissed the charge, adding the Massachusetts senator has 'been sending negative mail on Gephardt for weeks.' Kerry's campaign, too, stood accused of unsavory campaign practices. Aides to Dean - who support has slipped in recent surveys - said at least one of their voters had received a badgering phone call from a Kerry supporter who called the former Vermont governor an 'environmental racist.' Stephanie Cutter, a spokeswoman for Kerry, said the call was an "isolated incident" caused by overzealousness on the part of a young voluntee. She said he had been asked to leave the campaign, and was writing a letter or apology to the woman he called. Neither side seemed willing to let it drop, though."
There are links to AP video clips (in both Real and WMP format!) running in Iowa on the Rocky page. The Rocky is also linking to the AP's 2004 Presidential election coverage.
Carol Mosely Braun has asked her supporters to stand for Howard Dean tommorrow. Here's a link to her withdrawal statement from her website. There's no telling how long the link will be up.
February 3rd is the date for the Super Seven primaries and New Mexico is among the states where Democrats will cast ballots to choose the eventual nominee. New Mexico's close proximity to Colorado will provide a peek at what western voters are thinking. A recent Albuquerque Journal poll, with 30% undecided, shows Howard Dean and Wesley Clark out in front, with 18% and 16% respectively. The margin of error is 5% so in reality they are neck and neck.
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