Friday, July 29, 2005



Not yet...



Recon plane has found indications that something is brewing, but it isn't organized enough to call it a tropical depression:

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...
SATELLITE IMAGES...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...AND SAN JUAN DOPPLER
RADAR DATA INDICATE THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG
TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS HAS NOT
YET ORGANIZED ENOUGH TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER TONIGHT OR SATURDAY OVER THE EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND IN THE VICINITY OF PUERTO RICO AND
SURROUNDING ISLANDS. ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW. SQUALLS PRODUCING BRIEF PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE...
ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...COULD OCCUR OVER THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO TONIGHT...
AND OVER PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA ON SATURDAY. INTERESTS NEAR
THIS AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

Unless conditions change rapidly during the next hour or so (i.e. while the plane is still there), we may finally have a period without an advisory package as the final Franklin advisory went out at 5 PM.


2005 Hurricane Season, Weather comment []5:23:00 PM   trackback []