2004 Presidential Election
Blogs for Bush: "The Latest Ipsos-Public Affairs poll conducted for the Associated Press has some interesting things to say. First off, they over-sampled Democrats; according to their own data, 75% of their respondents were registered voters and of these registered voters 49% were Democrats and 42% were Republicans. Keep that in mind: 1/4 of the polling respondents are not likely to vote at all, and of the remainder, Democrats are over-polled - this skews the results in favor of the Democrats and against President Bush. In the poll, 56% say that the country is on the 'wrong track'. Pretty bad - 'cept that 60% in this poll were saying 'wrong track' back in March and, once again, we've oversampled Democrats who are much more likely to say 'wrong track' than either independents or GOPers. Among registered voters polled, its pretty much a wash on the President's job approval - 50% approve, 48% disapprove; you wonder if they had polled, say, 42% Dems and 42% GOPers what that number would be like, don't you?"
Update: WJZ.com: "Bad news for Bush here in Maryland...At one point, Bush enjoyed an approval rating as high as 74%, in the months following the September 11th attacks. Now, the President's approval rating has sunk to 39% and now 54% of Marylanders disapprove of his job performance. If the election was held today, only 38% of voters would cast their ballots for the incumbent President. Meanwhile, 52% say they would vote for Democratic candidate John Kerry."
Update: Taegan Goddard: "Florida: Bush 50%, Kerry 43%, Other 7% (Survey USA)."
6:03:28 PM 
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